Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.439659 0.500048 0.567909 0.650241 0.747993 0.861050 1.002719
2024-10-13 0.348402 0.427234 0.524717 0.655908 0.830614 1.059313 1.388250
2024-10-20 0.289893 0.373758 0.484412 0.644560 0.876403 1.209765 1.744806
2024-10-27 0.251555 0.337003 0.455552 0.637332 0.919074 1.357574 2.132454
2024-11-03 0.233164 0.323456 0.454650 0.667049 1.018620 1.610518 2.765404
2024-11-10 0.214216 0.305807 0.444087 0.678479 1.089138 1.830476 3.415089
2024-11-17 0.194291 0.283854 0.423354 0.668968 1.120407 1.985949 3.992811
2024-11-24 0.176303 0.262681 0.400854 0.652267 1.134275 2.109834 4.548651
2024-12-01 0.164220 0.249506 0.389622 0.653218 1.181024 2.311813 5.378612
2024-12-08 0.156593 0.242714 0.388138 0.671395 1.265258 2.618292 6.637265
2024-12-15 0.147682 0.232809 0.379961 0.675315 1.320039 2.872190 7.887560
2024-12-22 0.137328 0.219447 0.364106 0.661647 1.333149 3.026477 8.911770
2024-12-29 0.132046 0.214700 0.363877 0.680612 1.427485 3.431792 11.138516
2025-01-05 0.125380 0.206908 0.357150 0.685069 1.488812 3.770085 13.409557
2025-01-12 0.117487 0.196196 0.343691 0.672903 1.505859 3.983563 15.342294
2025-01-19 0.110866 0.187303 0.332924 0.665254 1.533363 4.242340 17.774749
2025-01-26 0.108771 0.186745 0.338739 0.696609 1.674900 4.948010 23.566705
2025-02-02 0.104944 0.182522 0.336576 0.708674 1.764958 5.514478 29.451488
2025-02-09 0.099465 0.174650 0.326014 0.698634 1.786924 5.829814 34.128660
2025-02-16 0.093800 0.166019 0.313093 0.681008 1.781909 6.035656 38.359352
2025-02-23 0.090090 0.161054 0.307679 0.682012 1.837412 6.536165 46.420314
2025-03-02 0.088027 0.159275 0.309091 0.701196 1.958799 7.414606 61.022700
2025-03-09 0.084986 0.155262 0.305128 0.705335 2.029939 8.095848 75.882349